Plan ₿ Forum 2026 · Lugano · Oct 23–24
Bitcoin Hub

Bitcoin rainbow chart (model)

Our own fit: trend line log₁₀(price) = -16.20 + 5.60 × log₁₀(days since the genesis block), least squares over all daily prices. Bands are ±0.5σ steps (σ = 0.301 in log₁₀).

Close on 2026-10-22: $84,019, trend line $141K, deviation -0.75σ.

Data: blockchain.info charts/market-price (daily USD, sampled=false) · 22 Oct 2026, 19:15 London

Share this page
⚠ This is a model, not a forecast. Models describe past data and have already diverged from the real price. Not investment advice.

Chart (log scale)

$0.10$1$10$100$1K$10K$100K20112013201520172019202120232025
-2.0σ-1.5σ-1.0σ-0.5σ+0.0σ+0.5σ+1.0σ+1.5σ+2.0σBTC price

FAQ

Where does the rainbow chart come from?
The idea appeared on Bitcointalk in 2014; Blockchaincenter publishes the popular version. Here we compute our own version from an open formula, so the numbers may differ.
Can it predict the price?
No. It is a curve fitted to past prices. Nothing guarantees that price stays inside the bands.